How much does a 96% AFUE furnace replacement cost in Fayetteville, AR?

City

Efficiency

A 96% AFUE furnace replacement in Fayetteville, AR

$5,631

the common high-efficiency tier, and where most rebates sit · typical range $4,224 – $7,978

Typical totalinstalled, 96 afue	$5,631
Range you should see in bidsthree bids on the same scope normally land inside this	$4,224 – $7,978
Labor portion40% of the job — this is the part that moves by city	$2,253
Material portion60% — bought at national prices	$3,379
Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers pay near Fayettevilleabout $26/hr · Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR metro	$54,830/yr
U.S. mean for the same tradeSOC 49-9021	$64,780/yr
Versus the national pricetrade pay here runs −15.4% against the U.S. mean	−$369
Design temperatures98°F summer and 17°F winter at Fort Smith Regional Airport — the two numbers a Manual J starts from, and the reason equipment sized for one city is wrong in another	—

Notes

Where the number comes from. The national price for a 96% AFUE furnace replacement is $6,000 installed — gas furnace replacement pricing published for 2026. Labor is about 40% of that. Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers near Fayetteville, AR average $54,830 a year against a U.S. mean of $64,780 — a factor of 0.846 — so the labor half is scaled by that and the material half is not. Source: BLS OEWS May 2025 for the Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR metro area, SOC 49-9021.
Why the city matters, not just the state. Trade pay moves inside a state as much as it does between states. Crews do not commute across a state to bid a job, and materials ship at national prices either way — so a metro wage is the honest input here and a state average quietly rounds four different cities into one number.
Design temperatures. 98°F summer and 17°F winter at Fort Smith Regional Airport — the two numbers a Manual J starts from, and the reason equipment sized for one city is wrong in another.
What is in the price: the furnace, removal and disposal of the old one, a new flue or vent kit, gas and electrical connections, a thermostat, permit and labor.
What is not: ductwork changes, a chimney liner where an 80% unit is orphaned by a water heater, and any return-air work the new blower needs. These are the lines that turn a $5,631 quote into a $7,039 invoice, so ask about each one before signing.
Use this as a bid check, not a quote. It prices an average job in average condition. Difficult access, the state of what is being replaced, the season, and a crew booked out three months all move the real number, and none of them are in a national average for the job.

a 96% AFUE furnace replacement in Fayetteville, AR

$5,631 is the typical number, and three bids on the same scope normally land between $4,224 and $7,978.

That is $369 less than the same job priced at the national average.

Why the city changes the number

About 40% of this job is labor — $2,253 of the $5,631 above. Labor is the only part that moves locally; a bundle of material costs what it costs wherever it is nailed down.

Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers near Fayetteville average $54,830 a year, against a U.S. mean of $64,780. That is a factor of 0.846, so the labor half is scaled by it and the material half is not.

Source: BLS OEWS May 2025 for the Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR metro area, SOC 49-9021.

What the quote should include

Design temperatures

The lines that turn a quote into an invoice

Ask about each of them before you sign. On a job this size they are the difference between $5,631 and something a quarter higher.

Use it as a bid check, not a quote

This prices an average job in average condition. Access, the state of what is being replaced, the season, and a crew booked out three months all move the real number, and none of them are in a national average.

If a bid lands outside $4,224 – $7,978, that is not automatically wrong — but it is the question worth asking out loud.

Nearby sizes

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What a Furnace Replacement Quote Is Made OfTwo quotes on the same basement can differ by thousands, and the difference is usually the venting.
What Each Step Up in BTU Costs — and Why the Curve Is Nearly FlatThe price gap between an 80,000 and a 100,000 BTU furnace is small enough that nobody argues about it, which is how houses end up with the wrong one.